אני חדש כאן בפורום והגעתי עקב התלבטות מה לעשות עם הון פנוי שצברתי, לאור המצב החוסר וודאי בשווקים אני מתלבט מה הדרך הנכונה לשמור על הכסף ואולי אפילו להרוויח קצת, השאלה מה כדאי לעשות? האם ללכת על מניות בארצות הברית? או על איזה פיקדון לכמה שנים? ואם כן על איזה מומלץ ללכת בתקופה כזאת?
דבר ראשון כמו בהרבה תשובות שאני נותן אתה צריך להיוועץ עם איש מקצוע מכיוון שכל מקרה לגופו.
שוק המניות עולה כאשר ישנה וודאות ויורד באי וודאות.
מלחמה זו וודאות, פחד ממלחמה זו אי וודאות. במלחמת לבנון השניה אחרי כמה ימי לחימה הבורסה התחילה לעלות. איני יודע מה יהיה עם המצב הבטחוני וכלכלת העולם, אבל אני יודע שמקצוענים מחפשים את ההזדמנויות כשכולם בפניקה. כשכולם אומרים לי שיהיה יותר גרוע לפני שיהיה טוב אני מתחיל לחפש הזדמנויות.
בכל אופן, בגלל החוק איני יכול להמליץ לך על השקעות ספציפיות, אך אוכל להדריך אותך בכמה סיסמאות נדושות:תחשוב מחוץ לקופסה, לך נגד הזרם, שאל את עצמך אם כולם עושים את זה אזי זה בועה וכד'.
אם תחפוץ אתה יכול לפנות אליי למייל ישירות.
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שלום, יש לנו סכום כסף שאנחנו מעוניינים להשקיע אותו. מכיוון שאנחנו לא מכירים את עולם הבורסה ושוק ההון, חשבנו לעשות זאת דרך בית השקעות. האם רצוי לעשות זאת גם ללא ידע בנושא? פשוט לפנות לבית השקעות גדול ולעשות מה שהם אומרים?
שאלה שניה, יש לנו חיסכון של דן חסכן בבנק לבן שלנו שמוכנס לתוכו כסף כל חודש, והוא נפתח עוד הרבה שנים. אנחנו חוששים שעדיף ללכת על אופציה אחרת, בעלת תשואה גבוהה יותר. האם יש לך המלצות?
שלום רב, עולם ההשקעות הינו מורכב ומכיוון שאתם מציינים כי תחום זה זר לכם, טוב תעשו אם תפנו לייעוץ אצל איש מקצוע. כמו כל מוצר או שירות אחר אותו אתם צורכים, גם כאן כדאי לבדוק טוב ולהכין שיעורי בית על מנת לבחור באיש המקצוע / בית ההשקעות המתאים לכם (על אחת כמה וכמה כאשר מדובר על ניהול כספכם). בבואכם לפגישה בבית השקעות חשוב שתגדירו לעצמכם מהם הצרכים שלכם, למה מיועד הכסף, מהו טווח ההשקעה, כמה אתם רוצים להרוויח ומהו הסיכון אותו אתם מוכנים לקחת. חשוב גם לבדוק מי ינהל את כספכם, מהו ניסיונו ומהי האסטרטגיה שלו. לגבי שאלתכם השניה: לא ציינתם פרטים לגבי התוכנית: לאיזה תקופה, תחנות יציאה, גובה הריבית, מנגנון הצמדה וכדומה כך שקשה לי להתייחס לשאלתכם באופן ענייני. באופן כללי אני חושב שישנן אלטרנטיבות עדיפות על פיקדונות בבנקים אך גם כאן תצטרכו לפנות לעזרה מאיש מקצוע.
מה אתם מצפים מהחסכון מבחינת תשואה? כלומר כמה כסף אתם רוצים לראות בסוף החסכון?
למה הכסף מיועד?
מה מידת הסיכון שאתם מוכנים לקחת?
האם יש לכם אלטרנטיבות השקעה שהן לא שוק הון?
שימו לב שבית השקעות לא מקבל כל סכום. ניהול אישי הוא לפחות מ 500 אלף.
תיק מנוהל בבית השקעות הוא אפיק אחד שיכול להתאים לכם. אך זה בסה"כ אפיק בודד מתוך מגוון אפיקים שאתם צריכים לפעול על מנת לקדם את המטרות שלכם ולהגדיל את ההכנסות שלכם.
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אבל, מנסיוני שוק המניות אוהב ודאות ושונא אי ודאות, השוק עולה בודאות ויורד באי ודאות.
לדוגמה, במלחמת לבנון השנייה לאחר כמה ימי לחימה השוק החל לעלות. כל עוד לא יודעים מה קורה עם יוון וספרד השוק ימשיך ליצר עצבנות וגם הזדמנויות.
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שוק ההון בנוי מנכסי בסיס ונגזרותיהם (CFD הוא אחד מהם).
אני מאמין שדבר ראשון צריך להכיר את נכסי הבסיס ללמוד אותם היטב לסחור בהם בצורה מקצועית ואז לעבור לנגזרות (אבל אני "old fashion").
בכל אופן, בכל מקום שיש כסף גדול ניתן גם להפסיד כסף גדול.
אבא שלי היה אומר שמלימודים אפשר רק להרוויח, אז לא אמליץ לך לא ללמוד. אך שים לב, בשביל להרוויח כסף גדול בשוק ההון לאורך זמן, צריך להקדיש את חייך. תבדוק עם עצמך האם אתה מוכן להקרבה הזו וצא לדרך.
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שלום, חיפשנו תכנית חיסכון שתתאים לילדנו וקיבלנו הצעה לחיסכון בן 13 שנה, 100% ריבית.
התנאים נשמעים טוב כולל סכום ההפקדה המינימאלי וגם העובדה שהכסף מכפיל את עצמו בתום התקופה.
החשש העיקרי שלי הוא שאין תחנות יציאה לאורך כל השנים, אני דואג שאם חס וחלילה יקרה משהו ונצטרך את הכסף לא תהיה לנו אפשרות למשוך אותו ונצטרך לקחת הלוואות.
מה דעתך על חיסכון מסוג כזה והאם כדאי לקחת את הסיכון? תודה ושבת שלום.
החיסכון מגלם תשואה שנתית של 5.5% שהיא תשואה טובה.
אבל, כשאנחנו בודקים כדאיות השקעה צריך לבדוק את האלטרנטיבות.
פיקדון בבנק מזרחי מקביל לרכישת כתב התחייבות/שטר הון מכיוון ששניהם הלוואות שהשקיע נותן לבנק. שטר הון של הבנק הוא למעשה אגרת חוב נחותה.
שטר הון - מזרחי טפחות שה א ' נותן תשואה של 3.37% צמוד מדד לשנה למח"מ של 8 שנים.
בהנחת מדד ממוצע של 2.5% התשואה לשנה היא 5.87%.
1) שטר ההון הנ"ל, קצר יותר.
2) נזיל לחלוטין כלומר ניתן לממש אותו בכל עת.
1) לרכישת מוצר זה ישנם עלויות התלויות ביכולת המקח של המשקיע מול הבנק.
שני סוגי עמלות:
עמלת קניה/מכירה - 0.1%-0.8% ברכישה ובמימוש של שטר החוב.
דמי ניהול/משמרת - 0-0.8% כל שנה.
לקוח מתוחכם ישלם 0.1%*2 ודמי משמרת מינימאלים של 0.1% שנתי.
כך שהתשואה תרד לכ- 5.6%.
חשוב לציין, ישנו ויכוח האם בעת פשיטת רגל של הבנק הפיקדון ישולם והאם שטר ההון ישולם ומה יותר מסוכן.
בנוסף הפקדון הינו קבוע וללא תנודתיות ולעומתו שטר ההון הינו תנודתי ותלוי בשינויי מאקרו כלכליים במשק.
למרות שבסופו של דבר יודעים בדיוק (בהנחה שהבנק אינו פושט רגל) כמה מקבלים.
לסיכום, שטר ההון בהנחת עמלות מינימום נותן תשואה טובה יותר (בהנחת מדד 2.5% ומעלה, מדד נמוך יותר ישקף תשואה נמוכה יותר) והכי חשוב הוא נזיל לחלוטין ולא מגביל את המשקיע.
מקווה שעזרתי, בהצלחה.
אין לראות באמור לעיל משום המלצה לביצוע פעולות ו/או ייעוץ השקעות ו/או שיווק השקעות ו/או ייעוץ מכל סוג שהוא. המידע המוצג הינו לידיעה בלבד ואינו מהווה תחליף לייעוץ המתחשב בנתונים ובצרכים המיוחדים של כל אדם. כל העושה במידע הנ"ל שימוש כלשהו - עושה זאת על דעתו בלבד ועל אחריותו הבלעדית. החברה ו/או הכותבים מחזיקים ו/או עלולים להחזיק חלק מן הניירות המוזכרים לעיל.
נותן תשואה לפדיון של 3.37% צמוד מדד פחכהעלםךחןםלרחערםןח"
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עמלות לקנייה/מכירה של מניות 0.1% ומטה (תלוי בגודל התיק) .
מערכת מסחר אורדרנט 2 עם פקודות כמו סטופלוס .
אפשרות לביצוע שורט (מכירה בחסר בת"א) .
וללא כל העמלות המוזרות של הבנקים - ללא דמי משמרת, ללא עמלת מינימום , עמלות אי ביצוע וכו' .
שוב אני אשמח לעזור אבל לא יודע מה מותר ומה אסור לפרסם כאן אז אתה יכול לשלוח אלי מייל :
ואני אשמח לענות לך מהניסיון שלי עם מסחר בבנקים אל מול בתי ההשקעות .
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מניות הבנקים מהוות חלק משמעותי מאד (כ – 25%) ממדד המעו"ף ולכן ירידה במניות הבנקים משפיעה לרעה על ביצועי המדדים בת"א.
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כמובן שהידרדרות במצב באירופה (הבנקים בישראל חשופים לבנקים אירופאים) והאטה במשק עשויה לגרור ירידות נוספות במניות הבנקים.
זיו בן חיים, כותב התשובה, הינו מנכ"ל ומנהל השקעות בכיר בטאלנט בית השקעות בע"מ, ועשוי לעסוק בין היתר, ברכישת/מכירת ניירות ערך ו/או נכסים פיננסים עבור לקוחות ו/או קרנות נאמנות שאת השקעותיהן הוא מנהל ו/או עבור עצמו. כל האמור בטור/תשובה לעיל אינו מהווה ייעוץ/שיווק השקעות ו/או ייעוץ/שיווק פנסיוני ו/או תחליף לייעוץ/שיווק כאמור, המתחשב בנתונים ובצרכים המיוחדים של כל אדם. טאלנט בית השקעות בע"מ עוסקת בניהול תיקים ובשיווק השקעות ואינה עוסקת בייעוץ להשקעות. במידע עלולות ליפול טעויות ועשויים לחול בו שינויי שוק ושינויים אחרים.
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כל מדינה שאינה שומרת על איזון תקציבי והיקף חובותיה גדל משנה לשנה, כאשר יכולת ההחזר
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כשאתה רוכש מוצר שאינו צורך שירות (או שהשירות ניתן ע"י היבואן ללא תלות בחנות) אתה צריך לשאוף לשלם את המחיר הנמוך ביותר שתוכל להשיג.
כשאתה רוכש שירות ובעיקר שירות המשפיע בצורה משמעותית על חייך (בריאות,כסף וכד') אתה צריך למצוא את נותן השירות הטוב ביותר. אחרי שקנית סחורה, לא מעניין אותך מה מרגיש או חושב המוכר. אך אם שמת את מיטב חסכונותיך אצל מנהל תיקים אתה מעוניין שהוא ירוויח טוב בכדי שכספך יטופל בצורה הטובה ביותר.
האם עולה בראשנו האפשרות שכאשר נצטרך (לא עלינו) טיפול רפואי חשוב נפתח במיקוח עם הרופא? אז למה כאשר מדובר בכסף שלנו אנחנו רוצים את הזול ביותר?
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בנוסף חשוב להבין, שוק ההון הוא שוק כל השווקים הוא מאגד בתוכו ידע רב, סיכונים רבים והזדמנויות.
השוק אינו אוהב קיצורי דרך, למידה עקבית אינטנסיבית ורצינית של הבסיס והתקדמות איטית היא המתכון להבנת השוק.
אם ברצונך לעשות כסף, עבודה היא המקום. אם ברצונך לעשות עסקים - להיות שותף בחברות (רכישת מניות), להלוות כסף לפעילויות עסקיות (אגרות חוב), שוק ההון הוא המקום.
"ההצלחה היא היכולת לעבור מכישלון אחד למשנהו מבלי לאבד את ההתלהבות "
גם אני בדיוק בבירורים ועשיתי מספר מכובד של חיפושים באינטרנט...
חבר המליץ לי דבר ראשון ללמוד את כל המושגים הבסיסיים כדוגמת פק"מ ומק"מ...
הבנתי פחות או יותר מה המשמעות אבל הבנתי שצריך לדעת גם אם הריבית קבועה או משתנה. בגדול מה עדיף? האם כשאני פונה לבנק אוכל לקבוע בעצמי אם הריבית תהיה קבועה או משתנה?
הבנתי גם שקיים מס על ריבית בפק"מ?? אשמח לקבל תשובות לשאלות שהוזכרו מעלה.
פק"מ הינה הלוואה שמעניק המשקיע לבנק. יש מס' סוגי פק"מים: יומי, שבועי, חודשי ושנתי.
פק"מ הינו מוצר בריבית קבועה אך כאשר הוא מתחדש הריבית מתעדכנת.
אם משקיע מאמין שהריבית תעלה ישקיע בפק"מ קצר שכאשר הוא יתחדש אז הריבית תתעדכן.
אם משקיע מאמין שהריבית גבוהה אזי ירכוש פק"מ ארוך שיקבע את הריבית הטובה.
כמובן שכל אפיק השקעה צריך להתאים באופן ספציפי לאחר יעוץ עם יועץ או מנהל תיקים.
יש מס על ריבית הפק"מ כמו כל אפיק שקלי.
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